Olympique de Valence vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
13º
12º
47
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique de Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 2
OVA
82%
11%
7%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
OVA
0 - 1
ESM
37%
22%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 1
CDE
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FEU
2 - 0
OVA
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SAE
4 - 0
OVA
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 0
OLY
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LYO
2 - 4
CLE
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AIN
1 - 1
LYO
6%
16%
78%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 2
LPV
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LYO
4 - 0
HAL
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |