Olympique Alès vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Alès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 3
OLY
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VEN
0 - 0
OLY
11%
20%
69%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
OLY
1 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
OLY
2 - 0
VEN
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
AUB
3 - 5
OLY
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
AGD
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
SPO
59%
22%
18%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
4 - 0
AUB
52%
22%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
ILE
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ARL
2 - 2
SPO
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |