Olympique Alès vs Gallia Lucciana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
1º
12º
1º
8
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
11º
|
4 | 47 |
1º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 46 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
8 | 45 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 45 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
8 | 42 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 34 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 33 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 33 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 30 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 14 |
14º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
17.5% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 77% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Alès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 3
OLY
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 2
AGD
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EUA
3 - 2
OLY
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 0
OLY
24%
25%
52%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
TOU
61%
21%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
LUC
37%
23%
41%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 0
COR
64%
19%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AGD
0 - 2
LUC
46%
24%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 0
LUC
81%
14%
5%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUC
5 - 1
EUA
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |