Olympique Alès vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
55.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Alès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
DUN
0 - 1
OLY
56%
25%
18%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
OLY
1 - 2
PER
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
CSL
2 - 1
OLY
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
OLY
2 - 0
ANG
36%
30%
33%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
SPI
3 - 1
OLY
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
CAE
3 - 2
AMI
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
CAE
1 - 2
STL
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
LIL
4 - 1
CAE
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
FCM
0 - 0
CAE
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAE
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |