Olympique Alès vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
13º
10º
52
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Alès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
4 - 0
OLY
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
BOU
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
MPL
2 - 1
OLY
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
OLY
4 - 3
LYO
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SÈT
0 - 4
OLY
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AUB
0 - 0
JUR
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AND
3 - 1
AUB
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 1
AUB
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CSL
1 - 1
AUB
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 2
GRA
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |