Olympique Alès vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
72.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Alès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BLA
0 - 1
OLY
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
OLY
0 - 0
AVE
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
OLY
2 - 0
FAB
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BEA
0 - 2
OLY
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
OLY
2 - 1
TOU
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
AJA
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 2
GAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 2
AJA
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 2
LHA
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
RED
2 - 0
AJA
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |