Olympic Safi vs Maghreb Fes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
10º
5º
34
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympic Safi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
UTS
1 - 0
OLY
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 1
WYD
40%
30%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
IRT
0 - 0
OLY
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
OLY
3 - 1
YOU
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
RSB
3 - 0
OLY
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Maghreb Fes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 1
SCC
40%
30%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
HAS
2 - 1
MAG
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 3
FAR
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
YOU
1 - 0
MAG
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 1
UTS
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |