Olympic Peleño vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympic Peleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
OLY
25%
22%
54%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
GIM
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLY
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 2
RMC
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 1
OLY
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
GUA
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 3
HER
19%
21%
61%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
CDN
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
HER
1 - 2
SAM
37%
22%
41%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
QUI
4 - 1
HER
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |