Olympic Peleño vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympic Peleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CDT
3 - 2
OLY
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
OLY
2 - 0
MON
15%
19%
66%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SAM
3 - 2
OLY
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAM
4 - 1
OLY
83%
12%
6%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
OLY
1 - 3
VIL
12%
18%
70%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
5 - 0
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ZAL
1 - 1
CAS
41%
24%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAS
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
UCL
12%
18%
70%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
GIM
4 - 2
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |