Olympic Peleño vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
50%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympic Peleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
OLY
4 - 3
ZAF
26%
22%
52%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SAM
10 - 0
OLY
88%
9%
4%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
OLY
0 - 2
CAM
17%
21%
62%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 0
OLY
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
OLY
2 - 4
UCL
23%
22%
56%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAM
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAS
60%
20%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
VIL
23%
22%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
UCL
6 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 2
GIM
58%
21%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |