Olympiakos Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
55.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
10º
14º
13º
58
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiakos Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
AKR
0 - 1
OLY
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 0
KAR
41%
25%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
APO
1 - 0
OLY
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
AEL
2 - 0
OLY
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 0
ARI
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AEK
4 - 3
ARI
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
NEA
4 - 0
AEK
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ANO
0 - 0
AEK
32%
27%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 0
PAP
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
NEA
0 - 2
AEK
24%
26%
51%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |