Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
Olympiacos vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
13.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
ZAG
1 - 0
OLP
33%
22%
46%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
OLP
2 - 1
ZAG
73%
14%
13%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1961 |
ZIL
1 - 0
OLP
56%
21%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1961 |
OLP
2 - 3
ZIL
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1959 |
ACM
3 - 1
OLP
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
ZAG
1 - 0
OLP
33%
22%
46%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
OLP
2 - 1
ZAG
73%
14%
13%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1962 |
ZAG
0 - 0
UJP
31%
21%
48%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
UJP
5 - 0
ZAG
73%
14%
13%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |