Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 6-0
Olympiacos vs Union Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
OLP
0 - 1
FCU
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
FCU
1 - 0
OLP
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
NEX
2 - 2
OLP
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
OLP
1 - 0
NEX
46%
24%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
SLB
3 - 0
OLP
87%
9%
4%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Union Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
ULU
1 - 1
BOT
29%
21%
50%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
BOT
4 - 0
ULU
86%
9%
6%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1978 |
ULU
1 - 0
BOG
34%
22%
45%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +10 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
BOG
4 - 1
ULU
74%
14%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
MAR
7 - 1
ULU
85%
10%
6%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | -1 |