Olympiacos vs Panetolikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
3º
3º
4
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
10 | 53 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 51 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 50 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 43 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 43 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 37 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 34 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 34 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 32 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 28 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 26 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 25 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 21 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
96.5% | 8% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 92% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 3
OLP
18%
25%
57%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
OLP
2 - 1
KAL
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VNF
0 - 2
OLP
22%
25%
54%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 4
OLP
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
OLP
3 - 4
NTT
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Panetolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PGE
3 - 0
PAN
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PAO
2 - 0
PGE
74%
17%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
PGE
0 - 1
LAM
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ATR
2 - 0
PGE
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PGE
2 - 2
VNF
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |