Europa League 1/32
Global 1-2
Olympiacos vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
NAP
2 - 0
OLP
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1978 |
LSO
3 - 1
OLP
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1978 |
OLP
2 - 1
LSO
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
DZG
5 - 1
OLP
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
OLP
3 - 1
DZG
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
FIO
0 - 0
NAP
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
NAP
0 - 0
CAG
70%
20%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
NAP
2 - 0
OLP
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
ASC
0 - 0
NAP
42%
31%
27%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
NAP
2 - 2
CAG
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |