Europa League Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 2-2
Olympiacos vs Metalist Kharkiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OLP
3 - 0
ARI
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
MET
0 - 1
OLP
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OFI
0 - 2
OLP
20%
27%
53%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
OLP
1 - 0
FCR
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
OLP
2 - 0
PAN
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Metalist Kharkiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MED
1 - 1
MET
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
MET
0 - 1
OLP
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
OBO
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
MET
4 - 1
RBS
61%
21%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
RBS
0 - 4
MET
42%
27%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |