Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 7-1
Olympiacos vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
OLP
0 - 0
LEG
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
GOZ
0 - 1
OLP
27%
25%
49%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
PSV
4 - 0
OLP
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
GNK
4 - 0
OLP
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
STR
1 - 1
OLP
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FCL
4 - 2
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
THU
2 - 1
FCL
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
FCL
0 - 2
NEX
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
DYN
1 - 1
FCL
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUG
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |