Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Olympiacos vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
FKN
0 - 1
OLP
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
OLP
1 - 0
FKN
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
OLP
3 - 0
ARI
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CSU
0 - 2
OLP
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
OLP
1 - 1
UFA
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LUD
3 - 0
CSK
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
LUD
3 - 1
NSM
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
LPL
1 - 3
LUD
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
NSM
0 - 0
LUD
38%
25%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
LUD
4 - 0
CSK
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |