Olympiacos vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
OLP
2 - 1
TRI
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LEV
1 - 2
OLP
20%
25%
55%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PAN
2 - 3
OLP
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
TRI
2 - 2
OLP
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OLP
5 - 0
IRA
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LAR
0 - 0
PAN
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
IRA
0 - 2
LAR
58%
26%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LAR
0 - 0
PAO
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PAN
3 - 0
LAR
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
LAR
3 - 2
ERG
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |