Olympiacos vs Athens Kallithea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
3º
3º
3
8º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
10 | 53 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 51 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 50 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 43 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 43 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 37 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 34 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 34 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 32 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 28 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 26 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 25 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 21 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
96.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 81% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VNF
0 - 2
OLP
22%
25%
54%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 4
OLP
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
OLP
3 - 4
NTT
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ROM
1 - 1
OLP
75%
17%
9%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TER
0 - 4
OLP
27%
25%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Athens Kallithea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
KAL
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 0
KAL
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OFI
0 - 0
KAL
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
KAL
4 - 1
KAL
69%
21%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 1
KIS
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |