Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 2-1
Olympiacos vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 0
OLP
31%
27%
43%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
GLA
1 - 3
OLP
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
OLP
1 - 1
SFK
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 1
OLP
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
OLP
2 - 1
SLO
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GNK
0 - 1
EUP
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
GNK
2 - 2
SER
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
RWD
0 - 4
GNK
22%
22%
56%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
GNK
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
GNK
2 - 0
BUR
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |