Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 3-4
Olympiacos vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
DUN
4 - 0
OLP
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
KRR
0 - 2
OLP
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1968 |
OLP
2 - 0
KRR
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
JUV
2 - 0
OLP
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
OLP
0 - 0
JUV
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1968 |
AIR
2 - 2
DUN
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
DUN
2 - 1
CLY
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
DUN
4 - 0
OLP
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1968 |
DUN
1 - 0
DUN
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1968 |
DUN
5 - 3
GRE
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |