Champions League 1/16
Global 2-3
Olympiacos vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
CSK
3 - 1
OLP
58%
20%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1965 |
OLP
2 - 2
WHU
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
WHU
4 - 0
OLP
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
OLP
1 - 1
OMO
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
OMO
0 - 1
OLP
57%
21%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
CSK
3 - 2
CHB
74%
14%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
CSK
3 - 1
OLP
58%
20%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
BOT
1 - 1
CSK
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
CSK
1 - 1
CVA
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1966 |
CSK
4 - 0
SLI
71%
16%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |