Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
Olympiacos vs Chornomorets Odessa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
EDE
1 - 4
OLP
30%
29%
41%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
OLP
1 - 0
IRA
67%
21%
13%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1992 |
AEK
1 - 3
OLP
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
OLP
1 - 1
PAN
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
PAS
1 - 1
OLP
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1992 |
MEZ
2 - 3
CHO
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
CHO
1 - 0
KRY
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
FCV
1 - 2
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
CHO
1 - 2
SHA
49%
23%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1992 |
MET
1 - 1
CHO
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |