Europa League 1/32
Global 8-3
Olympiacos vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
OLP
3 - 0
DOX
72%
17%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
OLP
3 - 2
PAN
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1993 |
BOT
2 - 3
OLP
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
ATH
0 - 1
OLP
24%
29%
48%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
OLP
1 - 0
PAO
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1993 |
CHB
2 - 2
BOT
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
BOT
1 - 2
LPL
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1993 |
BOT
2 - 3
OLP
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1993 |
LOK
0 - 0
BOT
35%
29%
35%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
BOT
2 - 2
DOB
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |