Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 11-1
Olympiacos vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
BES
0 - 5
OLP
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
AEK
2 - 1
OLP
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
OLP
0 - 0
ARI
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
OLP
0 - 1
PAO
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PAO
1 - 0
OLP
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
BES
0 - 5
OLP
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
DIN
4 - 3
BES
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
BES
6 - 4
GRA
60%
25%
15%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
BES
2 - 1
VLZ
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
BES
1 - 1
TIR
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |