Champions League 1/16
Global 0-2
Olympiacos vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
54.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
SLB
1 - 0
OLP
92%
5%
2%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
OLP
1 - 0
TOT
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
TOT
4 - 0
OLP
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
CAG
0 - 1
OLP
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1972 |
OLP
2 - 1
CAG
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
SLB
2 - 0
ORI
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
SLB
1 - 0
OLP
92%
5%
2%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
SLB
3 - 0
LEX
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
BOA
2 - 0
SLB
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |