Conference League Semi-finals
Global 6-2
Olympiacos vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 4
OLP
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLP
4 - 1
LAM
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
OLP
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OLP
2 - 1
PAO
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 0
OLP
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
BHA
1 - 0
ASV
39%
26%
35%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 4
OLP
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 2
CHL
45%
24%
32%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ASV
3 - 1
BOU
63%
20%
17%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 1
ASV
33%
26%
41%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |