Olympiacos vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
OLP
0 - 1
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
XAN
0 - 2
OLP
35%
28%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
LEV
3 - 0
OLP
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 1
OLP
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
OLP
2 - 3
ATR
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ARI
1 - 0
PAN
47%
28%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
PLA
2 - 0
ARI
14%
25%
61%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ARI
2 - 2
PAO
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
KER
2 - 2
ARI
23%
27%
50%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ARI
1 - 1
AEK
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |