Olympiacos vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
OLP
1 - 3
PAN
58%
22%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
HAL
0 - 1
OLP
22%
23%
54%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
OLP
2 - 0
PAN
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
OLP
1 - 1
KAS
84%
11%
5%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PAN
2 - 2
OLP
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
ARI
1 - 0
AIG
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ARI
3 - 0
HAL
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PAN
2 - 1
ARI
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ARI
0 - 2
PAN
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
IRA
6 - 0
ARI
68%
20%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |