Olympia Warriors vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
66.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympia Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
HOB
0 - 2
OLY
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
DEV
0 - 2
OLY
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
OLY
3 - 0
KIN
91%
7%
3%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 2
OLY
75%
14%
11%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
OLY
8 - 1
LAU
92%
6%
2%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
API
5 - 0
MAN
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SYD
1 - 2
API
28%
24%
49%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
API
6 - 0
PAE
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
SYD
2 - 1
API
13%
17%
69%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
API
2 - 1
WOL
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |