Olympia Alexandria vs Al Tersana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
26.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympia Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ETI
2 - 0
ALE
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 2
ZAM
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ITT
4 - 0
ALE
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
ALE
0 - 3
ALA
36%
29%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
ALE
2 - 1
GHA
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Al Tersana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ALT
2 - 0
JAI
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
HEL
1 - 0
ALT
52%
27%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 2
ALT
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
ETI
3 - 3
ALT
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
ALT
0 - 0
ZAM
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |