Olympia Agnonese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympia Agnonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 0
AVE
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GIU
1 - 0
OLY
38%
26%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 0
OLY
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 3
CHI
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
OLY
1 - 3
MAT
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FER
1 - 4
SAN
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
FER
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FER
4 - 1
JES
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 1
FER
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AMI
3 - 4
FER
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |