Olympia Agnonese vs Fabriano Cerreto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympia Agnonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
OLY
46%
25%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
OLY
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
OLY
2 - 0
USN
88%
9%
3%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
OLY
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
OLY
1 - 0
JES
56%
23%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 1
FRA
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
USN
2 - 1
FAB
18%
19%
62%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FAB
2 - 1
SAN
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
FAB
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 4
VIS
11%
18%
71%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | -1 |