Olympic FC vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+95%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
6º
48
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
87% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
13% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OLY
6 - 1
EAS
76%
14%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GCK
4 - 2
OLY
69%
20%
11%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 0
ROC
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 0
OLY
67%
19%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 2
QUE
16%
18%
66%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GCK
1 - 0
MOR
62%
22%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
BRI
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 1
MOR
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
PEN
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BRR
0 - 3
MOR
26%
21%
53%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |