Olten vs FC Basel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
74.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
OLD
5 - 1
OLT
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
OLT
2 - 5
FCG
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
EMM
2 - 1
OLT
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
OLT
0 - 2
MUN
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
ZUG
2 - 0
OLT
61%
20%
20%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 2
ZOF
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 0
OLD
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
FCG
0 - 4
BAS
14%
19%
67%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 0
EMM
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
MUN
0 - 3
BAS
12%
19%
69%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | +1 |