Olten vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BST
1 - 1
OLT
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
OLT
2 - 5
ZOF
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
DIE
6 - 1
OLT
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
FCW
2 - 1
OLT
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 64 | 42 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BIB
2 - 1
OLT
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
AAR
7 - 0
WAN
73%
16%
12%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FCM
0 - 0
AAR
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
AAR
0 - 2
SCH
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ROT
1 - 1
AAR
11%
14%
75%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
AAR
0 - 1
DUL
77%
14%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |