Olten vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ROT
2 - 1
OLT
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
OLT
0 - 0
JUV
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
OLT
0 - 2
DUL
44%
22%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SUB
0 - 1
OLT
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
OLT
1 - 0
WOH
40%
23%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AAR
0 - 3
PAJ
38%
22%
41%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AAR
2 - 2
ROT
73%
15%
13%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
DUL
4 - 1
AAR
46%
20%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AAR
1 - 1
SUB
71%
15%
14%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AAR
5 - 2
JUV
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |