FC AGMK vs Sogdiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
9º
2º
35
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 49 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 45 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 39 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 18 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
7.5% | 3% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
67% | 21% |
|
Mid-table
|
25.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2024 |
FKL
0 - 2
OLM
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
OLM
3 - 4
NAS
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
OLM
2 - 2
BUX
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
KFA
0 - 16
OLM
5%
12%
83%
|
63 | 7 | 56 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
OLM
0 - 1
MAS
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sogdiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 2
NAV
38%
28%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AND
0 - 1
SOG
43%
26%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 3
SOG
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SOG
2 - 0
PFK
82%
13%
6%
|
62 | 15 | 47 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
QOQ
0 - 2
SOG
38%
24%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |