FC AGMK vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
7º
4º
45
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
OLM
2 - 1
FKO
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BUN
1 - 1
OLM
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
OLM
2 - 1
FKL
51%
22%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OLM
2 - 3
TER
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SOG
1 - 2
OLM
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
SOG
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PAK
0 - 1
NEF
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 0
MET
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
URA
3 - 0
NEF
53%
24%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
NEF
2 - 1
NAS
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |