FC AGMK vs Navbahor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
9º
2º
23
2º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 49 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 45 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 41 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 39 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 35 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 33 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 31 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 29 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 26 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 26 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 22 |
13º
|
48.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
28.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AND
2 - 3
OLM
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
QIZ
1 - 0
OLM
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
OLM
4 - 2
PAK
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
FKO
0 - 1
OLM
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
OLM
1 - 0
MET
65%
20%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SOG
2 - 3
NAV
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 0
BUX
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
NAS
3 - 2
NAV
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
AND
3 - 0
NAV
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 0
QIZ
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |