Oliver vs Brea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
52.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CUA
1 - 2
OLI
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 2
TAM
22%
23%
55%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 0
OLI
80%
14%
6%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 3
TAR
23%
24%
53%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
AND
3 - 2
OLI
80%
15%
6%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CFB
3 - 2
ATC
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAB
2 - 0
CFB
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CFB
0 - 0
ICF
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ZAR
8 - 0
CFB
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CFB
2 - 1
CDA
63%
21%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |