Olivenza vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 0
ARR
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
MIA
1 - 4
OLI
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 1
ADL
63%
19%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
UDF
1 - 3
OLI
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
0 - 2
CDD
29%
24%
48%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MIA
2 - 1
TRU
42%
24%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
TRU
4 - 1
ADL
53%
23%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
UDF
0 - 2
TRU
29%
24%
48%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
TRU
0 - 0
CDD
18%
22%
61%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CPC
1 - 0
TRU
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |