Olivenza vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
48.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 3
OLI
51%
24%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
OLI
3 - 3
EMD
34%
24%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
JER
3 - 0
OLI
68%
18%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
UDF
56%
21%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MON
3 - 2
OLI
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
TRU
0 - 2
VIL
12%
20%
68%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CDD
1 - 1
TRU
38%
24%
39%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
TRU
2 - 1
ADL
69%
18%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TRU
3 - 0
VAL
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 1
TRU
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |