Olivenza vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CDD
3 - 2
OLI
53%
23%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 2
SAM
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AZU
3 - 1
OLI
63%
19%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 2
JER
28%
26%
46%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 0
OLI
75%
16%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 0
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
AMA
2 - 1
TRU
52%
22%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 0
VAL
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
EMD
4 - 1
TRU
34%
25%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 2
PLA
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |