Olivenza vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
OLI
77%
16%
7%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 3
ASJ
46%
26%
28%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 2
COR
56%
23%
21%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
DBN
2 - 0
OLI
60%
23%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
ARR
4 - 0
OLI
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
UDS
2 - 0
SAM
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 0
UDS
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PLA
2 - 1
UDS
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
UDS
3 - 1
CDZ
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
UDS
1 - 2
MIA
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |