Olivenza vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
OLI
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
11%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 1
OLI
39%
26%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 0
VAL
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EXT
4 - 0
OLI
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
OLI
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
PUE
32%
26%
42%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CDZ
3 - 3
MOR
27%
25%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
ASJ
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |