Olivenza vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
DPC
1 - 2
OLI
66%
19%
14%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 2
SAM
38%
26%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
OLI
80%
14%
6%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
DBN
27%
28%
45%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
4 - 1
PLA
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
5 - 2
UDF
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ASJ
1 - 3
MOR
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
JER
21%
26%
53%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SNV
1 - 2
MOR
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
CDZ
50%
25%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |