Olivenza vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
51%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SNV
2 - 2
OLI
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
DPC
23%
24%
53%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 1
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 3
CPL
33%
27%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
UDS
1 - 2
OLI
58%
23%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 4
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 1
MOR
78%
15%
8%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 2
MIA
52%
26%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 2
MOR
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
CDZ
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |