Olivenza vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
EXT
2 - 2
OLI
47%
23%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 2
CPC
10%
19%
72%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
DBN
1 - 0
OLI
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 1
OLI
21%
24%
55%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 1
PUE
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
MON
68%
19%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
1 - 0
CAL
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
VAL
78%
15%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
EMD
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 0
CAL
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |